Hertha BSC vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.3%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5%
13%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13%
80.4%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.1%
0-3
11.4%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.5%
0-4
7.7%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
10.9%
0-5
4.2%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.6%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.4%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hertha BSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
BRE
3 - 1
HER
40%
26%
35%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
HER
4 - 2
MON
35%
25%
40%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
WOL
2 - 2
HER
40%
26%
34%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2018 |
HZE
0 - 3
HER
5%
12%
83%
|
85 | 32 | 53 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
S04
0 - 2
HER
51%
25%
24%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
BYM
1 - 1
AUG
88%
9%
3%
|
94 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
S04
0 - 2
BYM
8%
15%
77%
|
94 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2018 |
SLB
0 - 2
BYM
15%
18%
67%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
BYM
3 - 1
LEV
79%
14%
7%
|
94 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
STU
0 - 3
BYM
4%
10%
85%
|
95 | 81 | 14 | -1 |