Hertha BSC U19 vs Carl Zeiss Jena U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.4%
Win probability
3.43
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.6%
6-0
4.2%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.5%
5-0
7.3%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
10%
4-0
10.7%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.5%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
7.5%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
7.5%
3%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
1º
8º
1º
15
3º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
23 | 23 |
1º
|
62.5% | |
|
2º
|
22 | 22 |
2º
|
41.5% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 22 |
3º
|
41.5% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 20 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 17 |
5º
|
40.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
15 | 16 |
6º
|
2.5% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 16 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 15 |
8º
|
53.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hertha BSC U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
ERA
6 - 1
HER
15%
17%
69%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
HER
3 - 3
BOR
48%
21%
31%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
BOR
2 - 2
HER
46%
22%
32%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
DDR
2 - 2
HER
13%
17%
70%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
HER
2 - 1
OSN
89%
8%
3%
|
38 | 17 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Carl Zeiss Jena U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
CZJ
1 - 2
HAL
28%
21%
51%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
CZJ
3 - 2
FCM
32%
23%
45%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
CZJ
1 - 2
UBE
19%
20%
62%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
WBR
4 - 0
CZJ
76%
14%
10%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
CZJ
3 - 6
PAU
22%
20%
58%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |