Hertha BSC II vs Zwickau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
31.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
4º
13º
9º
9
8º
18º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
19 | 69 |
1º
|
40% | |
|
1º
|
23 | 65 |
2º
|
22% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 64 |
3º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 59 |
4º
|
11.5% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 57 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 56 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 52 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 50 |
8º
|
10% | |
|
|
6º
|
15 | 50 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 43 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 42 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 42 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 42 |
13º
|
6% | |
|
|
14º
|
9 | 42 |
14º
|
10.5% | |
|
17º
|
6 | 33 |
15º
|
16% | |
|
18º
|
5 | 28 |
16º
|
10% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 27 |
17º
|
21.5% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 27 |
18º
|
28.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 96% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 4% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hertha BSC II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
HAL
4 - 1
HER
61%
22%
17%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
HER
3 - 1
VIK
30%
26%
45%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +2 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
EIL
1 - 3
HER
29%
23%
48%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
HER
0 - 6
LOK
33%
25%
42%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
ALT
0 - 2
HER
69%
17%
14%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Zwickau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ZWI
3 - 2
EIL
59%
21%
19%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
LOK
3 - 2
ZWI
50%
24%
26%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
ZWI
0 - 3
ALT
27%
24%
49%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
ERF
4 - 2
ZWI
40%
24%
36%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
ZWI
3 - 0
PLA
49%
24%
27%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |