Hertha BSC II vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
34.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hertha BSC II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2000 |
LAS
2 - 0
HER
32%
25%
43%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2000 |
HER
2 - 1
PLA
50%
24%
26%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2000 |
SAC
1 - 2
HER
52%
24%
25%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2000 |
HER
1 - 1
SGD
39%
26%
35%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2000 |
HER
0 - 2
LOK
38%
26%
36%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2000 |
STA
0 - 4
ERZ
32%
27%
41%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2000 |
ERZ
2 - 0
ERF
52%
24%
24%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2000 |
ZWI
2 - 1
ERZ
32%
27%
41%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2000 |
ERZ
1 - 3
MAG
55%
24%
22%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2000 |
CZJ
2 - 1
ERZ
45%
27%
29%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |