Herrera vs Quinto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
63.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
GIN
4 - 3
HER
38%
23%
39%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
HER
0 - 3
BEL
12%
20%
68%
|
10 | 24 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
AND
2 - 1
HER
71%
17%
11%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
HER
1 - 1
CAL
38%
24%
38%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
ACF
1 - 2
HER
82%
12%
6%
|
8 | 17 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Quinto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
QUI
2 - 1
ALC
59%
23%
18%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
SAG
3 - 1
QUI
22%
24%
55%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
ATL
2 - 1
QUI
28%
26%
46%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
QUI
2 - 1
GIN
76%
17%
7%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
BEL
0 - 0
QUI
62%
22%
17%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |