Herrera vs UD Montecarlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
22.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
AND
1 - 1
HER
18%
22%
60%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
HER
3 - 2
ACF
25%
22%
53%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
ALF
0 - 2
HER
40%
24%
37%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
LAA
2 - 0
HER
46%
23%
32%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
HER
2 - 1
CDU
33%
24%
43%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
UD Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
UDM
1 - 1
ATC
54%
22%
24%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
UDM
2 - 0
AND
69%
18%
14%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
ACF
0 - 1
UDM
76%
15%
9%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
ALF
1 - 3
UDM
58%
21%
22%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
UDM
1 - 0
LAA
26%
23%
51%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | +1 |