Herrera vs CF Epila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
43.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
ALC
0 - 0
HER
59%
20%
21%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
HER
4 - 2
CDC
45%
23%
32%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
CAS
2 - 1
HER
62%
21%
17%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
HER
3 - 2
CEL
55%
22%
23%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
CDC
3 - 1
HER
76%
15%
10%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
CF Epila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
EPI
3 - 1
UDM
74%
16%
10%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
AND
1 - 3
EPI
22%
24%
54%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
EPI
2 - 1
ACF
39%
23%
38%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
ALF
2 - 2
EPI
34%
25%
42%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
EPI
2 - 1
LAA
56%
22%
22%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |