Herrera vs Cella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
23.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
CDC
3 - 1
HER
76%
15%
10%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
HER
0 - 2
UDS
42%
23%
35%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
ATC
1 - 3
HER
63%
20%
18%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
UDM
6 - 1
HER
35%
24%
41%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
HER
4 - 1
AND
39%
23%
39%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Cella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
CEL
2 - 0
UDM
32%
25%
43%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
AND
1 - 2
CEL
69%
18%
13%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
CEL
2 - 2
ACF
8%
16%
76%
|
10 | 20 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
ALF
4 - 0
CEL
78%
14%
8%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
CEL
0 - 2
LAA
18%
21%
61%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |