Herrera vs Morata CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
13.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+59%
+42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
ATC
1 - 1
HER
38%
25%
38%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
HER
3 - 2
CEL
49%
23%
29%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
CDU
2 - 0
HER
72%
17%
11%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
HER
3 - 1
CDC
46%
23%
31%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 2
HER
28%
23%
49%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Morata CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
CDM
1 - 2
LAA
20%
22%
58%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
MAE
0 - 2
CDM
40%
25%
35%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
CDM
4 - 3
AND
37%
24%
39%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
ACF
3 - 1
CDM
42%
26%
32%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
CDM
2 - 0
ALB
69%
18%
13%
|
12 | 5 | 7 | 0 |