Herrera vs Morata CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
15.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
QUI
1 - 1
HER
55%
22%
22%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
HER
0 - 7
EPI
32%
24%
44%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
ALC
0 - 0
HER
59%
20%
21%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
HER
4 - 2
CDC
45%
23%
32%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
CAS
2 - 1
HER
62%
21%
17%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Morata CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
CDM
3 - 2
UDM
50%
23%
28%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
AND
0 - 0
CDM
53%
24%
24%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
CDM
0 - 1
ACF
17%
20%
63%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
ALF
0 - 0
CDM
68%
18%
14%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
CDM
1 - 3
LAA
31%
23%
46%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | -1 |