Herrera vs Ateca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
16.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
EPI
0 - 2
HER
43%
22%
35%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
HER
2 - 1
BOQ
66%
18%
16%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
CDB
3 - 4
HER
23%
21%
56%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
HER
4 - 1
TAU
27%
21%
52%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
CDM
0 - 0
HER
66%
18%
15%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Ateca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
ATE
2 - 2
GAL
34%
23%
43%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
TOR
5 - 3
ATE
32%
22%
45%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
EPI
2 - 0
ATE
40%
22%
38%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ATE
7 - 1
BOQ
54%
20%
25%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
CDB
1 - 4
ATE
35%
23%
42%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +2 |