Herrera vs At. Calatayud analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
54.9%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
CEL
4 - 1
HER
46%
24%
30%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
HER
1 - 1
CDU
17%
22%
62%
|
10 | 22 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
CDC
2 - 1
HER
56%
21%
23%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
HER
3 - 0
CAL
34%
23%
44%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +2 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
ALC
3 - 1
HER
46%
23%
31%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
At. Calatayud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
ATC
1 - 1
LAA
40%
24%
36%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
MAE
0 - 0
ATC
25%
22%
54%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
ATC
2 - 1
AND
75%
16%
10%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
ACF
0 - 2
ATC
55%
22%
23%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
ATC
2 - 0
ALB
72%
17%
11%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 |