Herrera vs Alcorisa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
37.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
HER
5 - 0
CDC
79%
13%
8%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
OLV
0 - 0
HER
27%
22%
51%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
HER
2 - 1
CAL
72%
17%
12%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
PRA
4 - 1
HER
59%
20%
21%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
HER
3 - 1
RIV
73%
15%
11%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Alcorisa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
ALC
5 - 0
ESC
84%
10%
5%
|
16 | 6 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
MAE
1 - 0
ALC
23%
21%
57%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
ALC
3 - 1
VAL
57%
21%
22%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
UTR
3 - 3
ALC
10%
15%
75%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
ALC
0 - 1
TER
61%
19%
20%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | -1 |