Hérouville vs Saint-Lô Manche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
65%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hérouville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
HER
0 - 0
SAB
16%
23%
61%
|
15 | 38 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
HER
4 - 5
STA
14%
21%
65%
|
15 | 38 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
BRE
2 - 0
HER
75%
16%
9%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
GUI
4 - 1
HER
81%
13%
7%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
HER
0 - 0
LAN
13%
19%
68%
|
15 | 35 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Saint-Lô Manche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
SAI
3 - 5
LAV
65%
20%
16%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
SAB
1 - 1
SAI
58%
21%
21%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
SAI
1 - 1
BRE
56%
23%
22%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
STA
3 - 2
SAI
51%
24%
26%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
SAI
1 - 0
GUI
62%
21%
18%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |