Hérouville vs Lannion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.7%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
61.5%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hérouville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
SAI
4 - 0
HER
78%
14%
9%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
HER
0 - 3
GUI
17%
21%
62%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
HER
0 - 1
DIN
19%
21%
59%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
VOL
4 - 0
HER
79%
13%
8%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
HER
0 - 0
LAT
34%
23%
43%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Lannion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
LAN
2 - 0
DIN
28%
26%
46%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
VOL
3 - 0
LAN
68%
18%
15%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
LAN
1 - 1
LAT
54%
23%
23%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
LOC
1 - 2
LAN
29%
25%
47%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
LAN
2 - 2
LAV
32%
25%
43%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |