Hérouville vs Guingamp II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
62.2%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
24%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hérouville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
HER
0 - 1
DIN
19%
21%
59%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
VOL
4 - 0
HER
79%
13%
8%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
HER
0 - 0
LAT
34%
23%
43%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
LOC
3 - 1
HER
48%
23%
30%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
HER
2 - 1
LAV
17%
19%
64%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | +3 |
Matches
Guingamp II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
GUI
2 - 0
BRE
58%
22%
20%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
DIN
0 - 0
GUI
44%
25%
31%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
GUI
2 - 1
SAB
46%
25%
29%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
VOL
2 - 2
GUI
57%
21%
22%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
GUI
0 - 0
STA
37%
25%
37%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | +1 |