Héroes de Falcón vs Ureña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
32.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
2º
15º
8º
25
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
25 | 28 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 25 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
23 | 23 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
84.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
84.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
84.5% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 15 |
13º
|
84.5% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 13 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 2 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Héroes de Falcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
HFF
4 - 1
FRO
56%
23%
21%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
FRO
1 - 1
HFF
36%
27%
38%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
URE
2 - 1
HFF
53%
25%
21%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2023 |
HFF
4 - 1
FLD
63%
21%
16%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
TRU
0 - 2
HFF
39%
27%
35%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Ureña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
URE
1 - 1
ATL
69%
19%
11%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
ATL
0 - 0
URE
19%
25%
57%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
URE
2 - 1
HFF
53%
25%
21%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2023 |
URE
0 - 0
YAR
55%
24%
22%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
FLD
0 - 2
URE
23%
24%
52%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | +1 |