Apertura 2ª Venezuela Semi-finals
Global 2-3
Héroes de Falcón vs Ureña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
31.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Héroes de Falcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
HFF
3 - 1
DNE
57%
23%
20%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
DNE
3 - 3
HFF
39%
27%
34%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2023 |
YAR
0 - 0
HFF
47%
26%
27%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
HFF
2 - 1
TRU
55%
24%
21%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2023 |
TIT
3 - 0
HFF
43%
27%
31%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Ureña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
URE
5 - 2
MIR
65%
22%
13%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
MIR
0 - 1
URE
26%
27%
48%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2023 |
URE
1 - 1
FRO
52%
25%
23%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
FLD
0 - 3
URE
35%
26%
39%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2023 |
TRU
1 - 2
URE
40%
26%
34%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |