FA Cup Previa 2
Global 4-3
Herne Bay vs Rayners Lane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.8%
32.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herne Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
HER
2 - 3
CHA
21%
21%
59%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
HER
3 - 3
CHI
42%
23%
35%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
CRA
4 - 2
HER
79%
14%
7%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
HER
1 - 2
SHE
44%
22%
34%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
LIT
1 - 2
HER
17%
19%
64%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Rayners Lane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
DOR
3 - 1
RAY
59%
20%
22%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2024 |
RAY
3 - 0
CHE
33%
21%
46%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2024 |
HEM
2 - 0
RAY
57%
21%
23%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
BRU
0 - 4
RAY
23%
20%
57%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2024 |
NOR
2 - 1
RAY
27%
21%
52%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | -2 |