Hernani U19 vs Danok Bat U19 B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
22%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
5º
16º
9º
27
6º
17º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 74 |
1º
|
81% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 62 |
2º
|
22.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 62 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 61 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 60 |
5º
|
17.5% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 57 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 51 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 49 |
8º
|
18% | |
|
|
8º
|
28 | 49 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 48 |
10º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
27 | 45 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 38 |
12º
|
20% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 37 |
13º
|
17.5% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 35 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 35 |
15º
|
18.5% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 31 |
16º
|
27.5% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 25 |
17º
|
32.5% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 25 |
18º
|
50% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hernani U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ANT
4 - 1
HER
54%
23%
24%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
HER
1 - 1
EIB
45%
23%
31%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
DEP
0 - 0
HER
64%
19%
17%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
DAN
0 - 2
HER
87%
10%
4%
|
8 | 18 | 10 | +3 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
HER
0 - 2
IND
46%
23%
31%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Danok Bat U19 B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
DAN
0 - 1
CDB
46%
21%
33%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
DUR
1 - 1
DAN
40%
24%
37%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
DAN
0 - 1
CDG
47%
23%
30%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
REA
0 - 0
DAN
71%
17%
12%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
DAN
4 - 2
EIB
45%
21%
33%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +1 |