Hernán Cortés vs Santa Amalia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
46.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hernán Cortés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
COR
2 - 1
HER
77%
16%
7%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
HER
0 - 2
DBN
26%
28%
46%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
OLI
3 - 1
HER
40%
28%
33%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
ASJ
3 - 1
HER
42%
26%
32%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
HER
2 - 0
JER
10%
22%
68%
|
15 | 39 | 24 | +5 |
Matches
Santa Amalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
SAM
1 - 1
MAD
14%
23%
63%
|
20 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
PUE
2 - 0
SAM
53%
23%
24%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
SAM
2 - 1
VAL
56%
23%
21%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
SAM
2 - 1
AZU
32%
25%
43%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | +2 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 1
SAM
42%
24%
34%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -1 |