Hernán Cortés vs Racing Merida City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.5%
21.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hernán Cortés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
HER
5 - 1
MON
73%
16%
11%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
SAM
1 - 2
HER
75%
15%
10%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
HER
5 - 1
CAB
84%
11%
5%
|
13 | 5 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 4
HER
18%
21%
61%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
HER
5 - 1
ZAL
81%
12%
7%
|
12 | 6 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Racing Merida City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
RMC
1 - 4
SAM
22%
20%
58%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
CAB
3 - 3
RMC
9%
14%
77%
|
13 | 5 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
RMC
1 - 1
VAL
85%
10%
5%
|
14 | 6 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
ZAL
1 - 2
RMC
8%
14%
78%
|
13 | 5 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
RMC
1 - 0
CAS
35%
22%
43%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |