Hernán Cortés vs CD Quintana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
50.5%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hernán Cortés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
HER
2 - 11
VIL
13%
22%
65%
|
15 | 45 | 30 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
UDF
3 - 0
HER
45%
25%
31%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
HER
1 - 1
UDF
46%
24%
30%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
HER
1 - 0
ZAF
63%
21%
17%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
ZAF
0 - 1
HER
35%
26%
40%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CD Quintana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
QUI
7 - 0
SIR
88%
9%
3%
|
17 | 6 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
OCD
1 - 4
QUI
9%
16%
75%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
QUI
6 - 0
SPH
69%
18%
13%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
QUI
3 - 0
VAL
86%
10%
4%
|
17 | 6 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
QUI
4 - 0
SMA
79%
13%
7%
|
17 | 8 | 9 | 0 |