Hernán Cortés vs Moralo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
59.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hernán Cortés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
DPC
7 - 1
HER
52%
24%
24%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
HER
0 - 0
SAM
28%
26%
46%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
COR
2 - 1
HER
77%
16%
7%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
HER
0 - 2
DBN
26%
28%
46%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
OLI
3 - 1
HER
40%
28%
33%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Moralo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
MOR
0 - 1
MAD
19%
25%
56%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
PUE
3 - 0
MOR
34%
25%
41%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | -2 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
MOR
4 - 1
VAL
66%
21%
13%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
EXT
4 - 1
MOR
70%
18%
12%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
MOR
1 - 0
AZU
53%
24%
22%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +1 |