Hernán Cortés vs Monterrubio CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.9%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.9%
9.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hernán Cortés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
OLY
2 - 2
HER
27%
23%
51%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
HER
0 - 0
GUA
77%
14%
9%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
CDS
0 - 3
HER
19%
21%
61%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
HER
1 - 0
CDN
64%
18%
18%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
HER
1 - 2
SAM
37%
22%
41%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Monterrubio CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
MON
2 - 2
GIM
35%
23%
42%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
MON
3 - 0
OLY
25%
22%
54%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | +2 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
GUA
2 - 1
MON
50%
23%
27%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
RMC
1 - 0
MON
77%
14%
10%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
MON
2 - 3
CDS
60%
21%
20%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -1 |