Hernán Cortés vs AD Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.8%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.1%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
0
21.1%
70.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
18.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.7%
0-2
16.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
22.1%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hernán Cortés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2015 |
PUE
2 - 2
HER
76%
15%
8%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
HER
0 - 1
VAL
35%
27%
38%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
EXT
7 - 1
HER
86%
11%
4%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
HER
2 - 0
AZU
23%
26%
51%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | +2 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 0
HER
52%
23%
25%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
AD Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2015 |
MAD
10 - 1
PLA
85%
11%
4%
|
43 | 16 | 27 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
MAD
2 - 0
PUE
78%
15%
7%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
VAL
0 - 2
MAD
13%
23%
65%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
MAD
0 - 1
EXT
60%
22%
18%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2015 |
AZU
1 - 3
MAD
19%
25%
57%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | +1 |