Hernán Cortés vs Ilipense-Zalamea S. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.1%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.3%
6.5%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hernán Cortés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 0
HER
57%
21%
22%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
HER
0 - 1
CAM
40%
23%
37%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
RMC
1 - 3
HER
63%
19%
19%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
HER
3 - 4
GUA
53%
22%
26%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
HER
2 - 1
GIM
72%
16%
12%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ilipense-Zalamea S.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
ZAL
1 - 1
GIM
27%
22%
51%
|
6 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
QUI
4 - 0
ZAL
85%
11%
5%
|
6 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
ZAL
1 - 2
MON
38%
23%
39%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
SAM
0 - 0
ZAL
92%
6%
2%
|
6 | 18 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
ZAL
1 - 0
CAB
32%
23%
45%
|
5 | 8 | 3 | +1 |