Hernán Cortés vs Guareña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
25.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+112%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hernán Cortés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
HER
2 - 1
GIM
72%
16%
12%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
QUI
2 - 1
HER
60%
20%
20%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
MON
2 - 1
HER
16%
20%
64%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
HER
1 - 2
SAM
37%
23%
40%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
CAB
0 - 3
HER
22%
22%
56%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Guareña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 0
VAL
63%
19%
17%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
GIM
1 - 3
GUA
37%
24%
40%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
ZAL
0 - 2
GUA
19%
21%
59%
|
11 | 5 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 0
QUI
13%
17%
70%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
GUA
2 - 2
CAS
18%
21%
61%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | +1 |