Hernán Cortés vs Guareña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.5%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
61.1%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hernán Cortés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
ZAL
1 - 1
HER
50%
24%
26%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
HER
3 - 1
CAB
10%
17%
73%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | +2 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
CAS
5 - 0
HER
56%
22%
22%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
HER
0 - 0
CDT
15%
19%
66%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
HER
0 - 4
CPG
40%
23%
37%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Guareña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
GUA
1 - 1
MON
60%
20%
20%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
ZAL
0 - 0
GUA
17%
20%
63%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
GUA
4 - 2
SAM
42%
23%
34%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | +2 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
GIM
1 - 2
GUA
68%
17%
15%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
MON
3 - 0
GUA
31%
24%
45%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -1 |