Hernán Cortés vs Gimnástico Don Benito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
21.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+177%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hernán Cortés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
CDD
0 - 4
HER
69%
17%
14%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
HER
0 - 1
CAB
67%
18%
15%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
GEV
3 - 3
HER
61%
20%
19%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
HER
0 - 1
GEV
45%
24%
31%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
HER
1 - 0
CDS
80%
13%
7%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Gimnástico Don Benito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
GIM
2 - 2
CDZ
39%
22%
39%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
RMC
2 - 2
GIM
20%
20%
60%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
GIM
4 - 2
CAB
48%
23%
30%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
GUA
3 - 1
GIM
21%
22%
58%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
CAM
1 - 1
GIM
51%
23%
25%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +1 |