Hernán Cortés vs Gimnástico Don Benito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.4%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
67.5%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hernán Cortés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
CDB
1 - 1
HER
44%
23%
33%
|
9 | 5 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
HER
2 - 1
ZAL
20%
22%
58%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
ZAF
1 - 0
HER
72%
16%
12%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
CPG
0 - 3
HER
43%
23%
35%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
HER
0 - 1
USA
29%
25%
46%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Gimnástico Don Benito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
GIM
2 - 2
CPG
87%
9%
4%
|
15 | 6 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
USA
0 - 4
GIM
28%
22%
50%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
GIM
3 - 1
CDN
86%
9%
5%
|
14 | 5 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2019 |
SPR
1 - 2
GIM
19%
20%
61%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
GIM
6 - 0
UDF
67%
18%
15%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |