Hernán Cortés vs Extremadura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13%
26%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26%
55.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.6%
0-2
12%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hernán Cortés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
MAD
4 - 0
HER
71%
18%
12%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
HER
1 - 2
CPC
53%
23%
24%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
CHI
0 - 0
HER
32%
27%
40%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
HER
2 - 0
DPC
26%
26%
48%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
COR
0 - 1
HER
65%
20%
15%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Extremadura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2013 |
EXT
1 - 2
ALB
15%
24%
61%
|
35 | 61 | 26 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
EXT
1 - 2
PUE
84%
12%
4%
|
35 | 15 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
COR
1 - 0
EXT
20%
26%
55%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | -2 |
| 30 Jun. 2013 |
EXT
2 - 1
GRA
52%
25%
23%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2013 |
GRA
1 - 0
EXT
51%
24%
25%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |