Hernán Cortés vs Ciudad de Plasencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
45.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hernán Cortés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
PUE
0 - 0
HER
60%
22%
18%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
HER
1 - 0
SAM
44%
26%
30%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
EXT
2 - 0
HER
81%
13%
5%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
HER
1 - 1
DBN
18%
25%
57%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
ARR
3 - 1
HER
87%
10%
3%
|
19 | 41 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Ciudad de Plasencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
CPL
1 - 0
DPC
38%
26%
36%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
COR
1 - 0
CPL
42%
25%
33%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
CPL
0 - 0
CHI
65%
21%
15%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
CPL
4 - 0
PUE
53%
24%
24%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
SAM
2 - 1
CPL
29%
25%
46%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | -1 |