Hernán Cortés vs Castuera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.5%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.1%
16%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
76%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.5%
0-3
11.2%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
15.6%
0-4
6.5%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.5%
0-5
3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+74%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hernán Cortés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
OLY
2 - 0
HER
76%
15%
9%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
HER
0 - 2
SAM
7%
14%
79%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
CAM
4 - 1
HER
82%
13%
6%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
HER
0 - 3
VIL
15%
20%
65%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
HER
3 - 1
MOR
42%
24%
34%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Castuera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
CAS
2 - 0
CPG
86%
10%
5%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
USA
2 - 3
CAS
33%
23%
43%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
CAS
4 - 1
CDN
53%
21%
27%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
SPR
0 - 1
CAS
26%
23%
51%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
VAL
2 - 2
CAS
66%
19%
15%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |