Hernán Cortés vs Mérida UD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
48.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hernán Cortés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
VIL
3 - 0
HER
84%
11%
5%
|
22 | 44 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
CAS
2 - 1
HER
48%
24%
28%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
HER
4 - 0
ORE
70%
19%
11%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
TRU
0 - 1
HER
26%
25%
49%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
HER
4 - 1
CNV
72%
18%
11%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Mérida UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
MER
0 - 3
JER
49%
26%
25%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
SPV
1 - 0
MER
66%
20%
14%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
MER
0 - 0
MOR
62%
22%
16%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
SNV
1 - 0
MER
26%
26%
48%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
MER
2 - 0
DPC
69%
20%
11%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |