Hernán Cortés vs Atl San José Promesas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
22.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hernán Cortés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
CDZ
1 - 2
HER
62%
22%
16%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
HER
0 - 1
MER
26%
26%
48%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
VIL
3 - 0
HER
84%
11%
5%
|
22 | 44 | 22 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
CAS
2 - 1
HER
48%
24%
28%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
HER
4 - 0
ORE
70%
19%
11%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Atl San José Promesas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
ASJ
1 - 1
DPC
40%
25%
36%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
COR
1 - 0
ASJ
63%
20%
17%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
ASJ
3 - 3
IMP
80%
14%
6%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
JER
3 - 2
ASJ
64%
23%
13%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
ASJ
0 - 3
SPV
18%
22%
61%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | -1 |