CF Hernán Cortés U19 vs UD Montecarlo U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
48%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-69%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
13º
16º
15º
4
3º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
6 | 82 |
1º
|
69% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 72 |
2º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
4 | 61 |
3º
|
11.5% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 59 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
3º
|
6 | 58 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 54 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
4º
|
6 | 54 |
7º
|
9% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 49 |
8º
|
10% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 47 |
9º
|
8% | |
|
2º
|
6 | 46 |
10º
|
7% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 42 |
11º
|
3% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 37 |
12º
|
7% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 36 |
13º
|
8% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 33 |
14º
|
9% | |
|
|
17º
|
0 | 33 |
15º
|
9% | |
|
13º
|
0 | 32 |
16º
|
15.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 31 |
17º
|
13.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 30 |
18º
|
20.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 3% |
|
Mid-table
|
63.5% | 96% |
|
Relegation
|
36% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Hernán Cortés U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
ATE
1 - 2
HCJ
50%
21%
29%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
HCJ
1 - 1
ESC
34%
22%
43%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
TER
5 - 1
HCJ
41%
22%
37%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | -2 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
HCJ
1 - 1
ALC
57%
20%
23%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
OLI
2 - 4
HCJ
76%
14%
10%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
UD Montecarlo U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
MON
1 - 1
SDH
34%
22%
44%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
ZAR
6 - 0
MON
81%
12%
7%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
MON
7 - 3
UTE
84%
11%
5%
|
13 | 5 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
MON
2 - 1
STC
61%
20%
19%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
AMI
3 - 2
MON
15%
19%
66%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | -1 |