CF Hernán Cortés U19 vs UD Montecarlo U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
48%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
11º
17º
16º
39
1º
7º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
36 | 72 |
1º
|
40.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
39 | 72 |
2º
|
28.5% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 66 |
3º
|
27.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 60 |
4º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 59 |
5º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 58 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 55 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 54 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 53 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 42 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 41 |
11º
|
20.5% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 37 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 36 |
13º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 33 |
14º
|
9.5% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 32 |
15º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
14 | 29 |
16º
|
16.5% | |
|
17º
|
14 | 29 |
17º
|
25.5% | |
|
18º
|
12 | 27 |
18º
|
32.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 40% |
|
Mid-table
|
45.5% | 60% |
|
Relegation
|
54.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Hernán Cortés U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
ATE
1 - 2
HCJ
50%
21%
29%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
HCJ
1 - 1
ESC
34%
22%
43%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
TER
5 - 1
HCJ
41%
22%
37%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -2 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
HCJ
1 - 1
ALC
57%
20%
23%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
OLI
2 - 4
HCJ
76%
14%
10%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
UD Montecarlo U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
MON
1 - 1
SDH
34%
22%
44%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
ZAR
6 - 0
MON
81%
12%
7%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
MON
7 - 3
UTE
84%
11%
5%
|
14 | 6 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
MON
2 - 1
STC
61%
20%
19%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
AMI
3 - 2
MON
15%
19%
66%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | -1 |