CF Hernán Cortés U19 vs UD Balsas Picarral Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
50.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
11º
17º
16º
31
1º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
36 | 72 |
1º
|
40.5% | |
|
1º
|
39 | 72 |
2º
|
28.5% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 66 |
3º
|
27.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 60 |
4º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 59 |
5º
|
20% | |
|
|
6º
|
31 | 58 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 55 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 54 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 53 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 42 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 41 |
11º
|
20.5% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 37 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 36 |
13º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 33 |
14º
|
9.5% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 32 |
15º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
14 | 29 |
16º
|
16.5% | |
|
17º
|
14 | 29 |
17º
|
25.5% | |
|
18º
|
12 | 27 |
18º
|
32.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
45.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
54.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Hernán Cortés U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
ZAR
1 - 1
HCJ
84%
10%
6%
|
10 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
HCJ
3 - 0
ALC
35%
22%
43%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | +2 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
RAC
2 - 1
HCJ
69%
16%
15%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
HCJ
2 - 3
SDH
44%
23%
34%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
UJV
2 - 2
HCJ
59%
20%
21%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
UD Balsas Picarral Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
UDB
3 - 2
ESC
37%
24%
40%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
OLI
3 - 0
UDB
47%
23%
31%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
UDB
2 - 1
CDE
77%
15%
8%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
SGA
6 - 3
UDB
20%
22%
58%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
UDB
0 - 1
MON
68%
18%
14%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | -1 |