Hermannstadt vs Unirea Slobozia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
16.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
7º
16º
9º
25
3º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
44 | 52 |
1º
|
31% | |
|
1º
|
45 | 52 |
2º
|
18% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 50 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 50 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 49 |
5º
|
23% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 45 |
6º
|
29% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 44 |
7º
|
28% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 43 |
8º
|
35.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
31 | 38 |
9º
|
20% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 37 |
10º
|
21% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 35 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 35 |
12º
|
22% | |
|
|
13º
|
25 | 30 |
13º
|
34% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 28 |
14º
|
32% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 27 |
15º
|
39% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 24 |
16º
|
82% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
2.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
97.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hermannstadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
UCL
3 - 1
HER
46%
27%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
HER
0 - 0
CSU
39%
27%
34%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
HER
0 - 1
PET
56%
25%
20%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2024 |
HER
1 - 2
ZIR
57%
25%
18%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
CRA
1 - 3
HER
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Unirea Slobozia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
UNI
2 - 2
STB
19%
25%
56%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
SFC
0 - 1
UNI
72%
18%
10%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 1
DBU
29%
26%
45%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2024 |
SSG
1 - 1
UNI
67%
19%
14%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
UNI
0 - 0
SEL
48%
29%
24%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |