Hermannstadt vs Politehnica Iași analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
26%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
22.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
6º
16º
9º
10
8º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
21 | 54 |
1º
|
40.5% | |
|
5º
|
14 | 47 |
2º
|
8% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 47 |
3º
|
7% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 45 |
4º
|
4.5% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 44 |
5º
|
7.5% | |
|
3º
|
15 | 44 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
2º
|
16 | 43 |
7º
|
6.5% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 43 |
8º
|
7% | |
|
|
7º
|
12 | 42 |
9º
|
8% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 41 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 40 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 40 |
12º
|
8.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
10 | 36 |
13º
|
11.5% | |
|
15º
|
6 | 32 |
14º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 29 |
15º
|
25% | |
|
16º
|
6 | 24 |
16º
|
57% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
38.5% | 14% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
61.5% | 86% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hermannstadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
FOC
0 - 3
HER
9%
19%
73%
|
78 | 41 | 37 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
HER
2 - 0
STB
37%
27%
36%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
SFC
3 - 2
HER
52%
25%
23%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
HER
2 - 1
BOT
50%
26%
24%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
GAL
1 - 0
HER
33%
30%
38%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Politehnica Iași
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
CON
0 - 2
CSM
20%
24%
57%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
CSM
1 - 2
RAP
30%
27%
43%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
STB
0 - 1
CSM
62%
21%
16%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
CSM
2 - 2
DBU
39%
27%
35%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SFC
2 - 0
CSM
61%
22%
18%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |