Hermann Aichinger vs Metropolitano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
29.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hermann Aichinger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
HER
2 - 2
INT
48%
25%
27%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
GUA
3 - 3
HER
28%
26%
46%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 0
HER
42%
26%
33%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
HER
1 - 0
AVA
20%
23%
57%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
HER
0 - 0
JEC
18%
24%
58%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Metropolitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
MET
1 - 1
CHA
20%
24%
56%
|
55 | 77 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2015 |
AVA
1 - 2
MET
65%
21%
14%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | +2 |
| 12 Feb. 2015 |
CRI
1 - 2
MET
73%
18%
10%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
MET
0 - 2
GUA
66%
20%
15%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
INT
1 - 1
MET
40%
25%
36%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |