Hermann Aichinger vs Marcílio Dias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
31.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hermann Aichinger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
AVA
2 - 0
HER
63%
22%
15%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2015 |
HER
1 - 3
CRI
20%
25%
55%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
CHA
3 - 0
HER
75%
18%
8%
|
53 | 76 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2015 |
HER
1 - 3
MET
45%
26%
29%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
HER
2 - 2
INT
48%
25%
27%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 0
GUA
55%
24%
21%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 1
GUA
56%
23%
20%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
CRI
1 - 0
MAR
72%
18%
10%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 2
CHA
19%
24%
57%
|
53 | 75 | 22 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
MAR
3 - 4
AVA
23%
24%
53%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |