Hermann Aichinger vs Marcílio Dias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.4%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
11.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hermann Aichinger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
CHA
2 - 3
HER
61%
22%
17%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
HER
2 - 1
CAM
60%
22%
18%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
MET
2 - 2
HER
40%
25%
35%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
HER
3 - 1
BRU
62%
21%
17%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
JEC
2 - 1
HER
62%
21%
17%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
CAM
2 - 0
MAR
61%
21%
18%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 2
BRU
45%
24%
31%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
AVA
6 - 1
MAR
81%
14%
6%
|
43 | 69 | 26 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 3
CRI
16%
22%
62%
|
43 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
CHA
2 - 0
MAR
77%
16%
8%
|
44 | 65 | 21 | -1 |