Herlev vs AC Horsens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.1%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
68.6%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
11%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herlev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
AVA
0 - 4
HER
33%
24%
43%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
HER
7 - 1
BGA
77%
15%
9%
|
49 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
B93
0 - 0
HER
48%
23%
29%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
HER
3 - 1
SKJ
55%
22%
23%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2011 |
HVI
1 - 2
HER
58%
22%
20%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
AC Horsens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
SON
1 - 4
ACH
38%
26%
36%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2011 |
ACH
2 - 0
FCK
30%
27%
44%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2011 |
MID
1 - 0
ACH
62%
22%
17%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
AKA
0 - 3
ACH
21%
23%
56%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
SIF
1 - 1
ACH
45%
25%
30%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |