Hergiswil vs Willisau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
6%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.3%
11.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
NOV
2 - 3
HER
21%
19%
61%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
LUG
2 - 1
HER
42%
22%
36%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
HER
1 - 1
IBA
71%
17%
12%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
TAV
5 - 1
HER
28%
22%
50%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | -2 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
HER
1 - 3
PER
81%
12%
7%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Willisau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
WIL
2 - 2
LUG
30%
21%
49%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
IBA
3 - 3
WIL
50%
21%
29%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
WIL
2 - 1
TAV
23%
20%
58%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | +2 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
PER
1 - 6
WIL
68%
17%
16%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2018 |
WIL
1 - 1
FCS
15%
17%
68%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | 0 |