Hergiswil vs Kickers Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
9.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2018 |
ESC
1 - 1
HER
14%
18%
68%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
HER
1 - 2
FCP
19%
23%
59%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
BRU
0 - 2
HER
14%
16%
69%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2018 |
HER
3 - 0
FCA
72%
15%
13%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
SAR
1 - 3
HER
19%
19%
62%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Kickers Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
LUZ
3 - 4
LUG
24%
23%
53%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
IBA
2 - 0
LUZ
45%
24%
32%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
LUZ
0 - 4
TAV
32%
24%
45%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
PER
1 - 1
LUZ
48%
21%
31%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
LUZ
2 - 0
FCS
26%
23%
51%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | +1 |