Hergiswil vs Hochdorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
21.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
MAL
1 - 1
HER
16%
18%
66%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
HER
4 - 3
GUN
65%
19%
17%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
CAS
0 - 0
HER
44%
22%
34%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2014 |
HER
2 - 3
GOL
40%
24%
37%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
HER
1 - 3
SCH
34%
24%
42%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Hochdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
HOC
3 - 2
IBA
44%
23%
33%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
HOC
3 - 0
RUS
66%
18%
16%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
MAL
1 - 1
HOC
27%
22%
51%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2014 |
HOC
3 - 2
GUN
44%
23%
33%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
CAS
3 - 2
HOC
61%
20%
19%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | -1 |