Hergiswil vs Baar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
15.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2013 |
HER
1 - 2
FCA
65%
19%
16%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2013 |
FCS
1 - 2
HER
70%
17%
13%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2013 |
HER
0 - 0
SAR
49%
22%
29%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2013 |
HER
1 - 1
ASC
44%
23%
32%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
RUS
4 - 2
HER
51%
22%
28%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Baar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2013 |
FCB
2 - 0
LUZ
41%
24%
36%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2013 |
FCB
1 - 1
SAR
28%
23%
49%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
RUS
2 - 2
FCB
73%
16%
11%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
FCB
0 - 0
ASC
25%
23%
52%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
GOL
6 - 0
FCB
76%
15%
10%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | -1 |