Hergiswil vs FC Altdorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
14.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
GOL
2 - 1
HER
65%
17%
18%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
HER
5 - 1
PER
63%
19%
19%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2017 |
HER
1 - 3
SCH
23%
21%
57%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
HER
3 - 0
ASC
71%
17%
12%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
NOV
1 - 0
HER
22%
19%
60%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
FC Altdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
FCA
1 - 1
TAV
36%
22%
42%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
SAR
5 - 2
FCA
32%
22%
46%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
FCA
1 - 1
ESC
44%
22%
34%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2017 |
LOC
1 - 0
FCA
64%
19%
18%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
FCA
4 - 0
HOC
60%
19%
21%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | +1 |