Hergiswil vs Aegeri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
28.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
GOL
2 - 0
HER
60%
21%
19%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
HER
2 - 3
ESC
47%
23%
30%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
BAL
1 - 2
HER
23%
23%
54%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
HER
1 - 3
FCM
36%
24%
40%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
HER
0 - 1
AAR
29%
23%
48%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Aegeri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
FCA
1 - 2
FCS
41%
24%
36%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
EMM
2 - 3
FCA
54%
22%
24%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
FCA
2 - 1
IBA
41%
24%
35%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
TAV
0 - 0
FCA
50%
23%
27%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
FCA
3 - 2
LSS
23%
22%
55%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | +2 |